Comments on: Playing with the Electoral College http://standsalone.org/blog/2008/09/29/playing-with-the-electoral-college/ You've Got Some Free Time, Huh? Fri, 25 May 2012 07:45:54 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7 hourly 1 By: brie http://standsalone.org/blog/2008/09/29/playing-with-the-electoral-college/comment-page-1/#comment-1648 brie Mon, 29 Sep 2008 03:02:58 +0000 http://standsalone.org/blog/?p=1208#comment-1648 Yeah, but PA doesn't have the black population that VA does. I think that demographic is going to turn out in much larger numbers in VA than in previous elections. Plus the momentum of Mark Warner. Also, I don't know what the rego numbers are like for PA, but the Obama team has registered tons of people down in VA. I also think PA is likely to go to Obama. I guess I more meant that should Obama lose PA, he'd also be unlikely to win VA. NH makes me nervous. That's why it's nice to have CO in the bag (I think) and also VA. Then we don't even need it. I think IN is fun - and would be an awesome pull - but it doesn't change the FL, OH and PA math. Obama would still have to get one of those to win (though he could then lose NH, VA and CO). Unless Obama wins all three of CO, VA and NH plus Indiana. That's too much of a gamble for me. I actually didn't make the point I really wanted to in the post, though - I was a little over it by the end. I think Obama should give Ohio the heave ho. Spend the resources in VA and NH (and IN if he wants), rather than on people who appear consistently willing to vote against their own self-interest. (I'm still not over 2004) Yeah, but PA doesn’t have the black population that VA does. I think that demographic is going to turn out in much larger numbers in VA than in previous elections. Plus the momentum of Mark Warner. Also, I don’t know what the rego numbers are like for PA, but the Obama team has registered tons of people down in VA.

I also think PA is likely to go to Obama. I guess I more meant that should Obama lose PA, he’d also be unlikely to win VA.

NH makes me nervous. That’s why it’s nice to have CO in the bag (I think) and also VA. Then we don’t even need it.

I think IN is fun - and would be an awesome pull - but it doesn’t change the FL, OH and PA math. Obama would still have to get one of those to win (though he could then lose NH, VA and CO). Unless Obama wins all three of CO, VA and NH plus Indiana.

That’s too much of a gamble for me.

I actually didn’t make the point I really wanted to in the post, though - I was a little over it by the end. I think Obama should give Ohio the heave ho. Spend the resources in VA and NH (and IN if he wants), rather than on people who appear consistently willing to vote against their own self-interest.

(I’m still not over 2004)

]]> By: Neil http://standsalone.org/blog/2008/09/29/playing-with-the-electoral-college/comment-page-1/#comment-1647 Neil Mon, 29 Sep 2008 02:51:19 +0000 http://standsalone.org/blog/?p=1208#comment-1647 I think that VA is a tougher state for Obama than PA, so I disagree with your last thought. If Obama wins VA, I think it's almost certain that he will have won PA (and very likely OH, too). The voters who would swing against Obama in PA (exurban/rural whites) are a much larger bloc in VA. I also think that it's very likely that NH will go to Obama. Even more: play around with IN. I think it's the sleeper state to watch. I think that VA is a tougher state for Obama than PA, so I disagree with your last thought. If Obama wins VA, I think it’s almost certain that he will have won PA (and very likely OH, too). The voters who would swing against Obama in PA (exurban/rural whites) are a much larger bloc in VA.
I also think that it’s very likely that NH will go to Obama.

Even more: play around with IN. I think it’s the sleeper state to watch.

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